Título: | A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR THE STRATEGIC PLANNING OF THE OIL SUPPLY CHAIN | |||||||
Autor: |
GABRIELA PINTO RIBAS |
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Colaborador(es): |
ALEXANDRE STREET DE AGUIAR - Orientador SILVIO HAMACHER - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 06/OUT/2008 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=12291&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=12291&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.12291 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
The oil industry is one of the most important and dynamic
in Brazil. As the oil industry naturally integrated, we
need an appropriate strategic planning to the oil supply
chain that consider all its processes, such as oil
production, refining, distribution and refined products
marketing. Moreover, the oil industry is
susceptible to various uncertainties regarding the oil and
products price, crude oil supply and products demand. In
light of these opportunities and challenges, it
was developed in this dissertation a stochastic programming
model for the strategic planning of the Brazilian oil
supply chain. The model includes refineries and process
units, oils and their products properties, logistics and
national marketing decisions of oil and products, including
uncertainties associated with market price, oil domestic
production and refined products domestic demand.
Based on the stochastic model a robust model and a MinMax
model were formulated in order to compare the performance
and quality of the stochastic solution. The proposed models
were applied to a real example, with 17 refineries
and 3 petrochemical power plants that process 50
intermediate products, intended to production of 10 final
products associated to national demand, 8 oil fields, 14
natural gas producers, 1 vegetal oil producer, 13
terminals, 4 delivery points and 278 arches of transport.
In the results analysis was used as measures the Expected
Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) and the Value of the
Stochastic Solution (VSS).
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