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Título: A STOCHASTIC MODEL BASED ON NEURAL NETWORKS
Instituição: ---
Autor(es): LUCIANA CONCEICAO DIAS CAMPOS
MARLEY MARIA BERNARDES REBUZZI VELLASCO
JUAN GUILLERMO LAZO LAZO
Colaborador(es): ---
Catalogação: 14 11:10:20.000000/02/2013
Tipo: PAPER Idioma(s): ENGLISH - UNITED STATES
Nota:
© 2011 IEEE. Reprinted, with permission, IEEE INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON NEURAL NETWORKS, JULY 2011. This material is posted here with permission of the IEEE. Such permission of the IEEE does not in any way imply IEEE endorsement of any of Pontifícia Universidade Catolica do Rio de Janeiro’s. Internal or personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution must be obtained from the IEEE by writing to pubs-permissions@ieee.org. By choosing to view this document, you agree to all provisions of the copyrightlaws protecting it.
Referência [en]: https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/eletricaonline/serieConsulta.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=21157@2
Resumo:
This paper presents the proposal of a generic model of stochastic process based on neural networks, called Neural Stochastic Process (NSP). The proposed model can be applied to problems involving phenomena of stochastic behavior and / or periodic features. Through the NSP’s neural networks it is possible to capture the historical series’ behavior of these phenomena without requiring any a priori information about the series, as well as to generate synthetic time series with the same probabilities as the historical series. The NSP was applied to the treatment of monthly inflows series and the results indicate that the generated synthetic series exhibit statistical characteristics similar to historical series.
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