Logo Eletrica On-Line
início      o projeto      quem somos      links      fale conosco
Imagem Topo Miolo
Imagem do fundo do titulo
Aumentar Letra Diminuir Letra Normalizar Letra Contraste

Livros
OEE
OEFis
CeV
SisEE
SimEE
CDEE
CIS
TFCs
ETDs
IRR
PeA

 


Título: TIME CONSISTENCY AND RISK AVERSE DYNAMIC DECISION MODELS: DEFINITION, INTERPRETATION AND PRACTICAL CONSEQUENCES
Instituição: ---
Autor(es): BIRGIT RUDLOFF
ALEXANDRE STREET DE AGUIAR
DAVI MICHEL VALLADAO
Colaborador(es): ---
Catalogação: 10 11:10:20.000000/03/2014
Tipo: PAPER Idioma(s): ENGLISH - UNITED STATES
Nota:
This paper was submitted to the European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR).
Referência [en]: https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/eletricaonline/serieConsulta.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=22609@2
Resumo:
In this paper we consider the following interpretation of the formal definition of time consistency: a policy is time consistent if and only if the future planned decisions are actually going to be implemented. In particular for risk averse multistage stochastic programming, we discuss a CVaR based portfolio selection problem and compare a time consistent formulation to a inconsistent one. For the latter, we discuss how different planned and implemented decisions can be and develop a new way of measuring the impact of a inconsistent policy on the objective function. In other words, we argue that the first stage decision of a time inconsistent policy is sub-optimal and we propose a methodology to compute the related sub-optimality gap. For portfolio selection example, we present a sensitivity analysis by computing this gap for different planning horizons and risk aversion levels. Finally, to motivate the use of the proposed time consistent formulation, we develop a suitable economic interpretation for its recursive objective function based on the certainty equivalent of the related preference function.
Descrição: Arquivo:
COMPLETE PDF

<< voltar