Título: | VALUING PROJECTS IN THE OIL INDUSTRY USING REAL OPTIONS: A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE MODELS OF BUSINESS AND RIGID CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Autor: |
DEBORA DUQUE ESTRADA DE ALBUQUERQUE |
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Colaborador(es): |
JOSE PAULO TEIXEIRA - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 13/SET/2006 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9002&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9002&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.9002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nowadays, world´s economic issues are characterized by
dynamism and
strong uncertainties, especially in questions related to
future decisions. As a
consequence of this, the theory of investment analysis has
been changing a lot.
More and more it has been observed a growing necessity to
include the concept of
managerial flexibility in project valuation. Plenty of
authors criticize the currently
used investment analysis method, mainly represented by the
discounted cash flow.
Besides, several researches have been carried out to
analyze the advantages of
using the Real Options theory, which is characterized
exactly by including this
managerial flexibility, so important to the investment and
project studies.
Managerial flexibility is important exactly because it is
capable to guarantee
strategic adaptability to the decision makers. Among the
projects that need most
this new valuation criterion, it is important to mention
those related to petroleum
investments, due to its complexity and to the fact that
petroleum projects demand
voluminous sums of investment, requiring therefore, a more
detailed and careful
analysis. Dias (2005), in his studies about Real Option
theory in petroleum area,
has developed two analysis models: Business and Rigid Cash
Flow. The
main proposal of this dissertation is to compare these two
models and to draw
some conclusions about the best investment decision,
regarding not only the best
moment to invest - timing decisions - but also the
valuation projects issues. To
make this comparative analysis, some graphs have been
developed in Excel. The
data used to construct such graphs were generated by a VBA
(Visual Basic for
Applications) program, also developed by Dias (2005).
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