Título: | DATA-DRIVEN JOINT CHANCE-CONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION FOR THE WORKOVER RIG SCHEDULING PROBLEM | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
IURI MARTINS SANTOS |
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Colaborador(es): |
SILVIO HAMACHER - Orientador FABRICIO CARLOS PINHEIRO OLIVEIRA - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 23/FEV/2023 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=61875&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=61875&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.61875 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Workover rigs are a crucial resource in petroleum exploration and
production, used in the wells maintenance operations. The Workover Rig
Scheduling Problem (WRSP) determines which rigs will serve the wells and
when the activities will occur. This decision-making problem emerges in a
highly uncertain environment, and most literature approaches are based on
deterministic models and heuristics. Aiming to assist the WRSP, this thesis
proposes a regression-based data-driven (DD) optimization methodology,
applying it in real-life-based instances. This DD optimization approach
is composed of three phases: data treatment, where text mining and
clustering techniques are used to refine and retrieve information from the
data; predictive modeling, using ridge regression to estimate the workover
duration and the endogenous uncertainties in the model; optimization,
where the regression prediction and random error are inserted in the joint
chance-constrained (JCC) models, generating solutions more resilient to the
uncertainties. We propose a stochastic JCC formulation based on simulation
and Wasserstein distance to generate scenarios and reduce the problem
size. This model is compared with four alternatives: a non-stochastic DD,
a stochastic integrated CC, a stochastic budget-constrained model, and the
company s current approach. For small and medium-sized instances, the
stochastic JCC model guarantees a feasibility confidence level with an error
of approximating lower than 5 percent. However, the stochastic JCC model does
not close the GAP in large instances. For these instances, the non-stochastic
DD model is a good alternative with disturbances not greater than 10 percent.
Overall, the DD optimization methodology finds schedules that are more
often feasible and with lower costs compared with the company s method.
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