Título: | PREDICTING DRY GAS SEALS RELIABILITY WITH MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES DEVELOPED FROM SCARCE DATA | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
MATHEUS HOFFMANN BRITO |
||||||||||||
Colaborador(es): |
HELON VICENTE HULTMANN AYALA - Orientador BRUNO DE BARROS MENDES KASSAR - Coorientador |
||||||||||||
Catalogação: | 07/NOV/2022 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
||||||||||
Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
||||||||||||
Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=61107&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=61107&idi=2 |
||||||||||||
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.61107 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
The correct equipment operation in the Oil and Gas industry is
essential to reduce environmental, human, and financial losses. In this
scenario, dry gas seals (DGS) of centrifugal compressors were studied,
as they are identified as the most critical device due to the extent of
the potential damage caused by their failure. In this study, 31 regression
models available at Scikit-Learn were developed using machine learning
(ML) techniques. They were trained with a scarce dataset, created based
on a design of experiment technique, to replace numerical simulations
in predicting the operational reliability of DGSs. First, a model based
on Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulation was validated to
represent the gas flowing between the sealing faces, to enable the calculation
of the equipment’s operational reliability. Thus, the open-source CFD
software OpenFOAM was used together with the substance database of
the software REFPROP, to allow the user to define the gas mixture and
the evaluated operational conditions. Then, two case studies were carried
out following a proposed generic workflow. The first comprised determining
a regression model to estimate the reliability of a DGS whose mixture
composition (composed of methane, ethane, and octane) is fixed but its
operating conditions can vary. The second consisted of determining a more
robust regressive model, where both the mixture composition and the
operational conditions can vary. Finally, the feasibility of implementing both
models under realistic operating conditions was evaluated, based on the
infinity norm obtained for the prediction of the test set. The performances
achieved were 1.872 degrees Celsius and 6.951 degrees Celsius for the first and second case studies,
respectively.
|
|||||||||||||
|