Título: | METHODOLGY FOR THE DEFINITION OF AN INSURANCE CONTRACT OPTIMAL PARAMETERS IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
ANA PATRICIA BARROS TORRACA |
||||||||||||
Colaborador(es): |
BRUNO FANZERES DOS SANTOS - Orientador |
||||||||||||
Catalogação: | 01/FEV/2021 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
||||||||||
Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
||||||||||||
Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=51396&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=51396&idi=2 |
||||||||||||
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.51396 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Operations in oil and gas companies are naturally dangerous and susceptible
to the occurrence of accidents. The financial losses due to accident damages can be
elevated. To avoid the risk of high expenses, it is usual for firms to acquire
insurance. However, setting the right parameters for an insurance contract requires
estimating the firm s risk exposure, which is still a hard task. To handle this issue,
some authors suggest uncertainty characterization models based on safety barriers
and precursor information. This approach facilitates the definition of consequences
and also acts in a more predictive way when compared to usual models based only
on historical data. Then, an optimization model is suggested, using the results
obtained with the uncertainty characterization method mentioned as one of its
inputs. As loss functions are not fully known, in order to solve the stochastic
problem, a Sample Average Approximation (SAA) approach is used. The results
obtained were compared to the situation where the company does not acquire
insurance and to other two insurance contract options. The optimization model
proposed was the one that granted greater predictability to the loss values,
presenting the smallest standard deviation. The second best option presented a
standard deviation 102 percent greater than the one obtained with the optimized
insurance. Also, the model provided greater protection against extreme events,
characteristic shown by smaller VaR and CVaR values, with the second best option
presenting a CVaR 41 percent greater than the optimized model s CVaR.
|
|||||||||||||
|