Título: | OPINION DYNAMICS IN COMPLEX NETWORKS | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
MARLON FERREIRA RAMOS |
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Colaborador(es): |
CELIA BEATRIZ ANTENEODO DE PORTO - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 17/MAI/2016 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=26418&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=26418&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.26418 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
This thesis addresses several problems that can be treated through
models of opinion dynamics, according to which individuals, connected
according to complex networks, interact through rules that shape their
preferences and opinions in relation to a particular issue. The methodology
used to investigate the patterns that emerge from those interactions relies on
the use of various techniques of statistical physics. The thesis is organized
around four distinct problems, with a particular question to be answered
in each case, always looking for empirical validation of the theoretical and
computational results. In the first work, it is answered the following basic
question about network properties that can have impact on the spreading
processes: what are the typical values of the distances, clustering coefficient
and other structural quantities, when considering the ensemble of random
networks with fix assortativity? In the second study, we investigated the
patterns that emerge in the ratings of films, considering as source IMDb
(Internet Movie Database). We found that the distribution of votes has a
scale-free behavior with a exponent close to 3/2. Interestingly, this pattern is
robust, independently of movie attributes such as average note, age or gender.
The empirical analysis points to a simple mechanism of adoption propagation,
that generates mean-field avalanches. In the third study, we discuss the problem
of multiple choices by means of a model which includes the possibility of
indecision and where the choices of individuals evolve according to a plurality
rule. We show that this dynamics on top of networks with the small-world
property produces different stationary states that depend on the number
of alternatives and on the degree distribution: consensus, wide adoption
distributions similar to actual ones and situations where indecision prevails
when the number of alternatives is large enough. Finally, we investigate the
appearance of extreme positions in society, through the polls on a wide variety
of questions. The increase of extreme opinions has as precursor a non-linear
relationship between the fraction of extremists and that of moderates. We
propose a model with activation rules, based on the stubbornness of the
individuals, which enables interpreting the beginning of the non-linearity in
terms of an abrupt transition of the class of bootstrap percolation, where
activation cascades occur. As a general conclusion, we emphasize that this
thesis illustrates how opinion models, combined with huge databases, provide
results with power of interpretation and prediction of empirical patterns.
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