Título: | ESTIMATION OF THE CARBON MARKET INCREMENTAL PAYOFF FOR RENEWABLE ELECTRIC GENERATION PROJECTS IN BRAZIL: A REAL OPTION APPROACH | |||||||
Autor: |
FABIO RODRIGO SIQUEIRA BATISTA |
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Colaborador(es): |
JOSE PAULO TEIXEIRA - Orientador ALBERT CORDEIRO GEBER DE MELO - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 23/JUL/2007 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: |
THESIS
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Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=10170&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=10170&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.10170 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
The recent ratification of the Kyoto Protocol and the
heavy penalties
imposed on the European firms not reducing their
Greenhouse Gas emissions,
make the Carbon Market a real asset for Latin America. In
this context, Brazil
appears as one of the biggest producers of Certified
Emissions Reductions, mostly
because of its potential to generate electricity power
from renewable sources.
Unfortunately, the real attractivity of this business is
still unknown in the
Brazilian Electric Sector, mainly because of the
difficulties in estimating the
future production level of the emission reductions and
because of the existence of
some managerial flexibilities that usually are note
recognized in this market. In
this context, the main objective of this work is to
develop a methodology to
evaluate the incremental payoff of the carbon market on
electricity generation
projects of interconnected hydrothermal systems, such as
the Brazilian System.
The methodologies ACM0002 [1] and AMS-I.D [2], both
approved by the Kyoto
Protocol Executive Board, will be used to determine the
baseline of these projects.
Besides that, considering that the carbon price is a
random variable, the Real
Option Approach will be used to evaluate the embedded
managerial flexibilities
on this business. The considered real option may be
evaluate by using the
binomial tree, least square Monte Carlo and the Grant,
Vora & Weeks methods.
Both the Geometric Brownian Motion and the Jump Diffusion
processes will be
used to model the price of the emission reductions.
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