Título: | VALUATION OF GTL PROJECT: A REAL OPTION APLICATION WITH MEAN REVERSION MODEL | |||||||
Autor: |
LETICIA DE ALMEIDA COSTA |
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Colaborador(es): |
CARLOS PATRICIO SAMANEZ - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 28/JUN/2007 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=10096&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=10096&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.10096 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
The present work has objective to analyze the investiment
of a XTL plant using the Real Options Theory. This
methodology is adjusted to evaluate the capacity that this
project has to changes its input and/or output, in other
words, to elect the option that maximizes payoff, in
accordance with each scenario, allowing to evaluate the
construction of a plant with flexibilities with the
investiments happening in an environment of economical
and/or technical uncertainties, where the prices
(uncertainty factors) are stochastic and will follow the
Mean Reversion Model, calculated by the Monte Carlo
Simulation. The XTL technology is divided in two stages: a
gasification process followed by a GTL (gas-to-liquid)
process. The gasification process allows you to transform
solids, liquids and gases into synthesis gas, that will be
used as input of the GTL. The GTL makes possible to
transform the syntesis gas into high quality liquids, such
as naphtha, diesel, paraffins and lubrificants. This work
is part of a project, with the objective to apply the Real
Options Theory in the evaluation of investiments in
Research and Development (R&D), aiming to price and
consider the flexibilities that are inherent to this
project.
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