Título: | ESSAYS ON ASSET ALLOCATION OPTIMIZATION PROBLEMS UNDER UNCERTAINTY | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
BETINA DODSWORTH MARTINS FROMENT FERNANDES |
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Colaborador(es): |
CRISTIANO AUGUSTO COELHO FERNANDES - Orientador ALEXANDRE STREET DE AGUIAR - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 30/ABR/2019 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=37857&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=37857&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.37857 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
In this thesis we provide two different approaches for determining
optimal asset allocation portfolios under uncertainty. We show how
uncertainty about expected returns distribution can be incorporated in
asset allocation decisions by using the following alternative frameworks:
(1) an extension of the Bayesian methodology proposed by Black and
Litterman through a dynamic trading strategy built on a learning model
based on fundamental analysis; (2) an adaptive dynamic approach, based
on robust optimization techniques. This latter approach is presented in two
different specifications: an empirical robust loss model and a covariancebased
robust loss model based on Bertsimas and Sim approach to model
uncertainty sets. To evaluate the importance of the proposed models for
distribution uncertainty, the extent of changes in the prior optimal asset
allocations of investors who embody uncertainty in their portfolio is
examined. The key findings are: (a) it is possible to achieve optimal
portfolios less influenced by estimation errors; (b) portfolio strategies of
such investors generate statistically higher returns with controlled losses
when compared to the classical mean-variance optimized portfolios and
selected benchmarks.
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