Título: | DYNAMIC DECISION MODEL TO FOSTER RENEWABLE SOURCES IN BRAZIL | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
ADERSON CAMPOS PASSOS |
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Colaborador(es): |
ALEXANDRE STREET DE AGUIAR - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 01/ABR/2016 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=26074&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=26074&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.26074 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
This dissertation presents a dynamic framework for renewable energy portfolios,
based on real options, that maximize the risk-averse investment value.
Differently from similar models, several classes of uncertainty are taken into
account simultaneously and the project values are calculated by means of
a hybrid robust and stochastic optimization model. The investment framework
is suitable for any market that allows bilateral trading (as in the
Brazilian free contracting environment) and is designed for a generation
company or energy trading company, that intends to invest in a renewablesource
portfolio. Using this framework it is possible to define how much to
buy or build from each renewable source, how much to sell from the energy
portfolio, and the best moment to invest. Additionally, the premium for investing
simultaneously in several complementary renewable sources is also
determined. The section responsible for supporting the dynamic investment
timing decision uses the binomial lattice proposed by Bastian-Pinto et al
[9], to describe mean reverting processes. This framework improves industry
practices, contributes to increase renewables competitiveness and proposes
an arragement that reduces the need for subsidies. As a consequence, this
model contributes to foster the penetration of renewable sources in Brazilian
electricity market.
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