Título: | EVALUATING AN ELEPHANT GRASS POWER PLANT INVESTMENT: PROJECT USING THE REAL OPTIONS THEORY APPROACH | |||||||
Autor: |
CARLOS FREDERICO VANDERLINDE TARRISSE DA FONTOURA |
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Colaborador(es): |
LUIZ EDUARDO TEIXEIRA BRANDAO - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 22/SET/2011 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=18319&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=18319&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.18319 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
Brazil is a country whose energy matrix is strongly dependent on generation
by hydropower plants. Within this scenario, the use of biomass power plants
represents an attractive alternative, since it associates the diversification of the
Brazilian energy matrix with the use of renewable sources, and is not as polluting
as their counterparts moved to non-renewable fossil fuels such as oil and gas. This
study aimed to conduct the economic evaluation of an investment in a project of a
biomass power plant, considering strategies with and without managerial and
operational flexibilities, in order to identify the best methodology for evaluating
the project in question. In the strategy without flexibilities, the discounted cash
flow method was adopted. In the strategies with uncertainties and flexibilities, the
uncertainties related to the electricity market and flexibilities related to the
possibility of selling the electricity generated in the long or short term markets
were incorporated into the analysis. Moreover, there is the possibility of installing
a briquetting plant, which would allow the plant to choose between selling
electricity in the short term market or briquettes, whichever is more economically
interesting. The results indicate that the existence of uncertainties and managerial
flexibilities increases the value of the project and reduces significantly the risk of
failure, which reinforces the idea that the evaluation with real options, though
more complex, can be more appropriate to determine the actual value of the
project.
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