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Título: APPLICATION OF MODELS GARCH AND GAS TO ESTIMATE RISK AVERSION MEASURES: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
Autor(es): ISABELLA CORTES CARNEIRO MONTEIRO
JOAQUIM CAVALHEIRO DE PAOLI LYRIO
Colaborador(es): CRISTIANO AUGUSTO COELHO FERNANDES - Orientador
Catalogação: 11/DEZ/2014 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: SENIOR PROJECT
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/TFCs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=23789@1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/TFCs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=23789@2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.23789
Resumo:
The present work aims to compare two different risk aversion measures, VaR and CVaR, obtained by the models GARCH and GAS, for three distinct financial return series of the Brazilian stock market. For each series, it was estimated the GARCH model with normal gaussian errors, the GARCH model with t- Student errors and the GAS model with t-Student errors. Each model was evaluated through its standardized residuals analysis. The Value-at-Risk model for each series was validated by the coverage tests to be presented in this work. It was verified that the model with the most adequate coverage was the GARCH model with normal Gaussian errors. The implementation was made using the softwares Matlab and EViews.
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