Logo PUC-Rio Logo Maxwell
ETDs @PUC-Rio
Título: EXTENDING THE CYCLICAL COMPONENT IN THE STRUCTURAL MODEL FORMULATION
Autor: KLAUS LEITE PINTO VASCONCELOS
Colaborador(es): REINALDO CASTRO SOUZA - Orientador
Catalogação: 02/MAI/2007 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9845&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9845&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.9845
Resumo:
The Structural Models, recently suggested by Harvey, uses the classic idea of modelling a time series y its non observed components. The cyclical component of the series, which is defined by a smoothed sine, is a special one that may be used for explaining a repetitive behaviour along the series. The motivation for using this component lies in the finite valued peak presnted by its theoretic spectrum. Harvey´s model stays that the cycle of the series is defined by a single smoothed sine. However, the estimated spectrum of certain series showed that it is reasonable to suppose the cyclical component of those series as being a sum of distinct smoothed sines of different frequencies. This thesis proposses an extension of the cyclical component in Harvey´s model and discusses the equivalent ARIMA structure for this extended component. We develop a Lagrange Multipliers test in the frequence domain for verifying the existence of an extra frequence in the cyclical component. The theory presented in the dissertation is applied with the purpose of testing the presence of a second frequence in the cycle of the series of sunspot numbers and in the series of rainfall in Fotaleza.
Descrição: Arquivo:   
COMPLETE PDF