Título: | ADAPTIVE CONTROL OF A MACROECONOMETRIC MODEL WITH MEASUREMENT ERROR | |||||||
Autor: |
PAULO WERNECK DE ANDRADE COSTA |
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Colaborador(es): |
RICARDO TANSCHEIT - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 18/DEZ/2006 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9400&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=9400&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.9400 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
Economic planning, when considered as a control problem,
has as its objective establishing optimal (or sub-optimal)
trajectories for the variables subject to Government
Control. This means that the policy variables (control),
instead of being arbitrarily determined by the
policymakers, will be the result of an optimization
process, with the objective of reaching pre-established
goals. In this work a Certainly Equivalence Adaptative
Control is applied to a macroeconometric model of the
Brazilian economy with measurement error. Since the
employment of time-invariant models has been widely
criticized (Lucas critique) the model used here is time-
varying. An adequate way to treat such a case is through
an adaptative control scheme, in which control and
identification of the model are perfomed simultaneously.
By means of simulations the policy obtained with the
adaptative controller is compared to the policy adopted by
the Brazilian Government.
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