ETDs @PUC-Rio
| Título: | MODELLING AND FORECASTING VIA STRUCTURAL MODELS THE PRODUCTION OF POLIPROPILENO´S BAG IN SANTA CATARINA | ||||||||||||
| Autor: |
SUZANA LEITAO RUSSO |
||||||||||||
| Colaborador(es): |
REINALDO CASTRO SOUZA - Orientador |
||||||||||||
| Catalogação: | 19/JUL/2006 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
||||||||||
| Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
| Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
||||||||||||
| Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=8702&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=8702&idi=2 |
||||||||||||
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.8702 | ||||||||||||
| Resumo: | |||||||||||||
|
In the present dissertation, besides exposing the
theoretical foundations of Structural Models (Classic and
Bayesian approaches); we also analysed the series of
production of propileno´s bag produced by Indústria Têxtil
Oeste Ltda. with observation covering the period from
January 1987 to June 1992. We used in the analysis the
packages: STAMP (classical) and BATS (Bayesian), with
intervention variables and the series of production of
square meters of propileno as explanatory variable.
As decision criterion we used the mean square error during
the period of adjustment and the ex-ante analysis with the
last six observation (January up to June of 1992), to test
the predictive ability of the models.
|
|||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||
