Logo PUC-Rio Logo Maxwell
ETDs @PUC-Rio
Estatística
Título: NUMERICAL MODELING OF NATURAL SLOPE STABILITY INCORPORATING SPATIAL VARIABILITY THROUGH RANDOM FIELDS
Autor: DAVID SEBASTIAN CALPA JUAJINOY
Colaborador(es): EURIPEDES DO AMARAL VARGAS JUNIOR - Orientador
RAQUEL QUADROS VELLOSO - Coorientador
FABRICIO FERNANDEZ - Coorientador
Catalogação: 20/MAI/2025 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=70506&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=70506&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.70506
Resumo:
In this thesis, an innovative probabilistic approach was developed and implemented to explicitly incorporate the spatial variability of the bedrock and the geotechnical parameters of the soil through random fields. The methodology is designed for the numerical modeling of landslides in natural slopes triggered by rainfall events and encompasses the entire process, from generating the finite element mesh - based on elevation data and bedrockdepth - to creating 2D and 3D random fields to represent the spatial variability of geotechnical parameters. The transient unsaturated flow was simulated by solving Richards equation numerically, while slope stability was assessed using Numerical Limit Analysis. The entire process was fully automated to enable the efficient execution of multiple simulations within a probabilistic framework based on the Monte Carlo method. Additionally, advanced post-processing tools were developed, including an algorithm for quantifying the volumes of displaced material and delineating the most landslide-prone zones, allowing for a detailed analysis of the temporal evolution of instability areas. The results highlight the importance of the combined effect of uncertainties associatedwith bedrock depth and morphology, as well as the spatial distribution of flow and shear strength parameters, whose influence was quantified throughout the simulations. By integrating safety factor estimates, pore pressure, failure probability, and associated risk, this methodology enables a comprehensive assessment of unsaturated slope stability and was successfully applied to a real case study.
Descrição: Arquivo:   
COMPLETE PDF