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Estatística
Título: ASSESSMENT OF PREDICTIVE MODELS FOR BIOGAS PRODUCTION USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
Autor: MICHEL ANGELO O W DE CARVALHO
Colaborador(es): FLORIAN ALAIN YANNICK PRADELLE - Orientador
BRUNNO FERREIRA DOS SANTOS - Coorientador
Catalogação: 29/ABR/2024 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=66522&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=66522&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.66522
Resumo:
Biogas is a renewable energy source with significant production potential from various waste materials, including food waste. In this context, this study presents the development of three distinct models using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), capable of predicting the cumulative volume of biogas, methane, and CH4 concentration, respectively. A literature-based database was constructed, including variables from anaerobic digestion processes: biomass type, reactor/feed type, volatile solid content, pH, organic loading rate, hydraulic retention time, temperature, and reactor volume. For each set of models, 24 ANNs were developed and tested using the MATLAB computational tool. The ANNs estimation capability was assessed using the coefficient of determination (R2) and the sum of squared errors (SSE). Following initial stages, neural networks were employed to create response surfaces, aiming to identify optimal regions for biogas and methane production. However, a single model failed to achieve the desired representativeness, leading to data segmentation based on biomass type. The developed ANNs demonstrated effectiveness in estimating the groups used for training, testing, and validation. The best network achieved R2 values of 0.9969 for biogas, 0.9963 for methane, and 0.9386 for methane percentage, with SSE values of 0.1808, 0.1089, and 11.45, respectively. The strategy of combining process variables in response surfaces proved valuable in identifying optimal points in the production process.
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