Título: | RETURNS AND HAZARD MITIGATION: EVIDENCE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
MARCELO COSTA MARQUES |
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Colaborador(es): |
MARCELO CUNHA MEDEIROS - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 18/AGO/2022 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=60239&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=60239&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.60239 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
In this paper, we provide evidence that information about hazard mitigation infrastructure in the United States (U.S.) during an indirect exposure
to tropical cyclones and the indirect exposure to tropical cyclones per se generate anomalies in returns after considering the 5 Fama-French factors and
momentum. We formulate two possible hypotheses to explain these anomalies: local investor and general market hypotheses. Both hypotheses assume
that hazard mitigation investments are lower than the ideal. Their difference
is based on how investors interpret the hazard mitigation programs. We focus
on local investors perceptions about them in the local investor hypothesis.
More significant investments in these programs mean more local investors will
acknowledge them and their flaws. On the other hand, we focus on general investors associations between hazard mitigation investment level and disaster
risk in the general market hypothesis. In the end, we give some evidence of
the local investors hypothesis, but we cannot guarantee that this is the only
possible explanation. The whole point depends on how much investors know
about hazard mitigation programs. Beyond that, we give evidence that an information channel is the probable path in which the anomalies are generated.
Thus, in this dissertation, we shed some light on the uncertainty generated
by natural disasters that prices assets, a topic that gets more attention in a
warming world.
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