Título: | IMPACT OF DEMAND FORECASTING INACCURACY ON THE SUPPLY CHAIN: A CASE STUDY IN THE BEVERAGE INDUSTRY | |||||||
Autor: |
PAULO MENDES DE OLIVEIRA JUNIOR |
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Colaborador(es): |
EUGENIO KAHN EPPRECHT - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 19/JAN/2005 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=5882&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=5882&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.5882 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
This thesis has the objective of developing and applying a
methodology to
measure the impact of demand forecast inaccuracy in the
supply chain of a
beverage industry, specifically in the inventory
management, physical distribution
and sales processes. The purpose is to create an awareness
of the importance of
forecasting area in the logistics planning and execution
activities.
To achieve these goals, a conceptual review of the major
demand
forecasting methods and of the three logistics processes
under analysis has been
made. After that, a methodology was defined and applied to
three different
warehouse data sets of the company analyzed. As a result of
the methodology
application, some opportunities for process improvement
were identified and
some changes were proposed for the current demand
forecasting process.
The results of methodology application and proposed actions
implementation allowed the company to increase the demand
forecasting
accuracy for the major SKUs and to improve communication
among the different
links of the supply chain. Based on more accurate
forecasts, the company will be
able to better allocate physical and human resources,
reduce operational costs
and achieve the required customer service level.
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