Título: | ESSAYS ON HERDING | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
GERSON DE SOUZA RAIMUNDO JUNIOR |
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Colaborador(es): |
MARCELO CABUS KLOTZLE - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 03/MAI/2022 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=58789&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=58789&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.58789 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Herding is a feature of investor behavior in financial markets, particularly in
market stress. In the thesis we will apply an approach based on the transversal dispersion
of individual stock betas, which allows us to extract herd patterns, using two dynamic
methodologies to measure the herd phenomenon over time with a state-space model in
three different markets.
The first study analyzes beta herding in the Brazilian stock market using a statespace model, controlled by two groupings of companies: those stocks listed on the market
index (Ibovespa) and those listed on the stock exchange as a whole. The findings revealed
a high herd on the Brazilian stock exchange, with only small differences between the
clusters. Regarding the control variables, we found that the dividend yield, market
volatility, SMB, and WML factors were significant for both groups, indicating that the
herd is significant regardless of the behavior of these variables.
The second study examines beta herding in the commodity market, using the
methodology developed by Hwang and Salmon (2004) and a beta adaptation standardized
by Hwang, Rubesam, and Salmon (2018). We analyzed the behavior of fifteen
commodities between 2000 and 2018 and then extracted the food commodities to test
their effect separately. The results suggest that betas can deviate from fundamentals in
both samples. However, food commodity betas tend to revert more quickly to stability
between demand and supply, which results in a long-term risk-return balance.
The third study applies the methodology of Hwang and Salmon (2004) and a beta
adaptation standardized by Hwang, Rubesam, and Salmon (2018) for the Cryptocurrency
market. The results reveal that the herd towards the market presents significant movement
and persistence regardless of the market condition, expressed through the market index,
market volatility, and volatility index. When analyzing trail herding, it is possible to
observe that herding was intense during the investigated period. We also identified a
positive relationship between herding and market stress.
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