Título: | THREE ESSAYS ON CREDIT AND MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Autor: |
MARCOS RIBEIRO DE CASTRO |
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Colaborador(es): |
JOAO MANOEL PINHO DE MELLO - Orientador CARLOS VIANA DE CARVALHO - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 07/DEZ/2021 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=56480&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=56480&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.56480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This PhD thesis comprises three essays on the influence of the bank credit
market on monetary policy transmission in Brazil. The first essay introduces a
state development bank in a stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a
financial accelerator as introduced by Bernanke et al. (1999). The development
bank follows a simple linear rule defined according to government goals, instead
of the competitive setup applied to the commercial banks. We calibrate the model
to reproduce features of the Brazilian economy, and simulate different equilibrium
situations involving cooperation or non-cooperation between central bank and
development bank. We find that, in both cases, under reasonable restrictions on the
scope of development bank actions, the development bank has some influence on
macroeconomic stabilization, although small. The second essay tests the presence
of a balance sheet channel of monetary policy transmission, using disaggregated
data on working capital loans in Brazil, from 2003 to 2010. In order to identify
financially constrained firms, we use firm size and the interest rates and risk
classification of their previous loans. We perform linear and probit regressions to
assess whether smaller and riskier firms present comparatively more pronounced
declines on their bank loans following interest rate increases or GDP declines.
In order to isolate the balance sheet channel from the bank lending channel, the
statistical tests were performed separately on loan data from fifteen banks among
the largest in Brazil. The results do not find statistically significant evidence of the
balance sheet channel. The third essay examines empirically whether the level of
bank capitalization has some influence on monetary policy transmission through a
bank lending channel. We use a monthly bank data sample from December 2000
to May 2008 to assess whether the amount of credit supplied by poorly and well
capitalized banks react differently to variations of the interest rate, and whether
the reaction of poorly capitalized banks to interest rates is asymmetric. Panel
data estimations using two different measures of bank capitalization do not find
statistically significant evidence of these effects of bank capital on credit supply.
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