Título: | TESTING A THEORY OF CIVIL WAR | |||||||
Autor: |
MICHEL DUMMAR AZULAI |
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Colaborador(es): |
JULIANO JUNQUEIRA ASSUNCAO - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 07/DEZ/2021 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=56468&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=56468&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.56468 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
Why do inefficient civil wars happen when Coasian bargaining is possible?
One theory for that is that players have limited commitment to the implementation
of the terms of such bargains. This paper provides conditions
under which, given the assumption that Coasian bargains are possible, such
commitment levels are identifiable in the data. More explicitly, if there is
variation in control of resources under peace and under war in the data, one
can identify commitment to Coasian bargains. When applying the model to
panel data for 133 countries between 1975-2004, the results indicate that a
model of limited commitment is a poor explanation for the country with the
average observables in the data. For about 90 percent of my sample, commitment
constraints do not seem to be binding, and these countries face a probability
of war of around 2 percent. For the rest of my sample, commitment constraints are
binding and these country-years face a probability of war of around 80 percent.
These conclusions have the important caveat that they might be sensitive
to the type of heterogeneity considered.
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