Título: | OIL REFINERY OPERATIONAL PLANNING UNDER UNCERTAINTY | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
GABRIELA PINTO RIBAS |
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Colaborador(es): |
SILVIO HAMACHER - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 05/NOV/2021 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=55670&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=55670&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.55670 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Oil companies make a great effort to maintain profitability and improve
efficiency, especially given the uncertainties present in this business. Companies
that intend to remain competitive need to plan their operations better and with
greater safety. In light of these opportunities and challenges, this thesis proposes a
stochastic approach to the refinery operational planning problem. In this sense, a
two-stage nonlinear stochastic programming model (NLP) developed. The
proposed model is intended to adequately represent nonlinear processes
encountered in a refinery, such as chemical transformations and calculations of
the properties of the oil derivatives. Due to the high level of complexity of the
NLP problem formulated, five solution methods associated with major
commercial solvers were evaluated. A methodology for generating scenarios and
quality measures for scenarios tree were also defined to properly represent the
uncertainties present in this problem. The stochastic approach proposed in the
present study was evaluated based on actual data from a Brazilian refinery. The
final results of this research should provide advances in the processes of refinery
operational planning exploiting the technique of nonlinear programming (NLP)
and new solvers available for NLP-type problems. Another objective was to
generate contributions in the field of stochastic programming by defining quality
measures for scenario trees that allow a better representation of uncertainties and,
consequently, better use of the stochastic approach.
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