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Título: GAMMA-GAMMA STATE SPACE MODELS: APPLICATION OF THE RAINFALL SERIES
Autor: KATIA LORENA SAEZ CARRILLO
Colaborador(es): REINALDO CASTRO SOUZA - Orientador
CRISTIANO AUGUSTO COELHO FERNANDES - Coorientador
Catalogação: 17/OUT/2003 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=4014&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=4014&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.4014
Resumo:
This thesis presents a study of a state space model for positive data where the observed process is conditionally independent given a latent process gamma Markov process. The observed process conditioned to the latent process has gamma distribution. The model facilitates the inclusion of as many covariates through the latent process as of the observed process.The obtained model is log-linear and the estimate of the regression parameters is made through Kalman estimating functions. The dispersion parameters are obtained via the adjusted Pearson estimation. Some simulation studies and an application are developed to the data of the series of rainfall of Fortaleza, Ceará, where they are incorporate stylized facts of the series (tendency, sazonalidade or cycles) are include as well as the effect of explanatory variables (temperature of the level of the sea, pressure, sunspots).
Descrição: Arquivo:   
COVER, ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS, RESUMO, ABSTRACT, SUMMARY AND LISTS PDF      
CHAPTER 1 PDF      
CHAPTER 2 PDF      
CHAPTER 3 PDF      
CHAPTER 4 PDF      
CHAPTER 5 PDF      
CONCLUSION PDF      
REFERENCES PDF      
APPENDICES PDF