Título: | FISCAL MULTIPLIERS IN TIMES OF WAR AND PEACE | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
JOSUE COX LESCANO |
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Colaborador(es): |
EDUARDO ZILBERMAN - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 11/MAR/2019 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=37303&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=37303&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.37303 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Fiscal multiplier literature uses war episodes as exogenous variation to achieve identification. However, the economy behaves differently in war episodes vis-à-vis peace periods; and hence the multiplier obtained using war episodes may be different from the multiplier prevailing in peace periods. To assess this assertion we use a calibrated New Keynesian model. We use these model to assess how different multipliers are in times of war and peace. We then turn to a Markov switching model in which government spending process is regime dependent, and we take into account this dependence when solving the model. We can obtain a difference of order four between war and peace multipliers using different definitions. In addition, we obtain a similar difference when we allow the presence of news in the model. These results shed light on the possible bias of the multipliers presented in fiscal literature.
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