Título: | INSTRUMENT SELECTION AND IDENTIFICATION OF MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
MARCELO MOURA JARDIM TEIXEIRA SENA |
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Colaborador(es): |
TIAGO COUTO BERRIEL - Orientador MARCELO CUNHA MEDEIROS - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 29/MAI/2018 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=34051&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=34051&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.34051 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Mavroeidis (2005) alerted that equilibrium conditions from typical rational
expectations macroeconomic models could be weakly identified due
to the use of poor instruments. I argue that, although such concerns are legitimate,
they are not empirically severe, provided instruments are properly
selected. I use an estimated medium scale DSGE model as a laboratory to
assess single-equation estimation of macroeconomic equilibrium conditions.
I present LASSO-based estimators to select instruments that perform well
in finite samples, which I argue have a better chance of performing for
forward-looking relationships, such as the New Keynesian Phillips Curve.
Finally, I provide an empirical application of the estimators for the US
economy s Phillips Curve and show that it validates a dominant forward looking
behavior.
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