ETDs @PUC-Rio
| Título: | THE NEUTRAL REAL INTEREST RATE IN BRAZIL: ESTIMATES AND DETERMINANTS | ||||||||||||
| Autor: |
JULIA WROBEL FOLESCU GOTTLIEB |
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| Colaborador(es): |
MARCIO GOMES PINTO GARCIA - Orientador MONICA BAUMGARTEN DE BOLLE - Coorientador |
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| Catalogação: | 30/NOV/2015 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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| Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
| Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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| Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=25521&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=25521&idi=2 |
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| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.25521 | ||||||||||||
| Resumo: | |||||||||||||
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The neutral real interest rate is used as a benchmark to characterize the
stance of monetary policy in a given period of time. It varies according to
structural and cyclical factors in the economy. The main objective of this MSc
Thesis is to uncover the neutral interest rate of the Brazilian economy from
different estimates and try to explain if the recent decline is due to structural
changes, such as the stabilization process, or if it is due to cyclical and temporary
factors, such as the global recession and the easy monetary policies around the
world. Given this estimates, it is possible characterize the monetary policy
stanceduring the last years and evaluate if the decrease in the basic rate (Selic),
that started in September, 2011, is sustainable, i.e., ifit is based on the decrease of
neutral interest rate. Furthermore, the natural rate of unemployment for the
Brazilian economy is also estimated in different ways and it follows that Brazil
went through structural changes that allowed the natural unemployment rate and
neutral interest rate to fall.
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