Título: | REAL OPTION THEORY: AN APPROACH TO WIND POWER | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
CAROLINE DA SILVA PANTOJA |
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Colaborador(es): |
JOSE PAULO TEIXEIRA - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 25/ABR/2014 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=22854&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=22854&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.22854 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
The Brazilian Electric Power Industry (SEB) has been going through many
changes. The reform begun in 1993 resulted in a modification on characteristics of
this sector that was mainly controlled by the government until that time. The
changes in SEB occurred in 2003 and 2004 resulted in the creation of the
Regulated Contracting Environment (ACR) and the Free Contracting
Environment (ACL). Recently, new modifications happened in this sector with the
law number 12.783/13, which regulates the Renovation of Concessions in the
sector. In this context, it can be highlighted the wind power projects and their
increasing participation in Brazilian electricity generation matrix. The Brazilian
electricity generation matrix is still concentrated in hydroelectrical generation.
However, wind power plants have been standing out in the last auctions, with
more competitive prices than Small Hydro Power (PCH) and biomass projects.
Therefore, considering the increasing importance of wind power source, this work
proposes the application of an investment model under uncertainty for evaluating
a wind power plant using the Real Option Theory. The flexibility used in this
work refers to the choice of the mechanism for selling the generated energy. In
this sense, it was assumed that the amount of generated energy which wouldn’t be
contracted in the ACR could have the possibility of being negotiated in contracts
in the ACL or it would be sold in the short-term market through the Differences
Settlement Price (PLD). Results indicate an increase in the project value with the
inclusion of this flexibility.
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