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ETDs @PUC-Rio
Estatística
Título: EXTRACTING COMMON FACTORS AMONG EXCHANGE RATE REAL/DOLLAR, EMERGENT MARKET BOND INDEX+BRAZIL AND IBOVESPA, VIA FILTRO DE KALMAN
Autor: BRUNA PRETTI CASOTTI
Colaborador(es): CRISTIANO AUGUSTO COELHO FERNANDES - Orientador
Catalogação: 04/JAN/2011 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=16685&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=16685&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.16685
Resumo:
Historically, financial variables’ volatilities are drastically affected during economical crisis periods. In particular, this statement is valid for the exchange rate between brazilian and north american currencies, the São Paulo Stock Exchange Index (Ibovespa) and the Emerging Market Bond Index + Brazil, usually interpreted as a measure of brazilian sovereign risk. Therefore, the presence of a common factor affecting the volatilities of these three variables becomes a plausible assumption. This work intends to extract this latent factor applying the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator into an adapted stochastic volatility model. The estimation requires the Kalman filtering on its diffuse version, once it’s supposed that the volatilities follow a non stationary process. The results indicated the presence of one common factor driving the mentioned volatilities, confirming the previous expectations.
Descrição: Arquivo:   
COVER, ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS, RESUMO, ABSTRACT, SUMMARY AND LISTS PDF    
CHAPTER 1 PDF    
CHAPTER 2 PDF    
CHAPTER 3 PDF    
CHAPTER 4 PDF    
CHAPTER 5 PDF    
CHAPTER 6 PDF    
REFERENCES PDF