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ETDs @PUC-Rio
Estatística
Título: CASH FLOW AT RISK ANALYSIS OF A DOWNSTREAM OIL COMPANY
Autor: RICARDO PEREIRA NUNES
Colaborador(es): CARLOS PATRICIO SAMANEZ - Orientador
Catalogação: 11/SET/2009 Língua(s): PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL
Tipo: TEXT Subtipo: THESIS
Notas: [pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio.
[en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio.
Referência(s): [pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=14108&idi=1
[en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=14108&idi=2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.14108
Resumo:
This study intents to examine strategies for hedging with swaps, futures and options that reduce the impact in CF@R to a model of oil refinery. The purpose is to show the effect that financial market hedge instruments used in portfolios causes in the corporate environment. The basis for the case study is shaped by the methodology for risk analysis on non-financial institutions suggested by the technical document CorporatemetricsTM. In the corporate financial structure, which concept is already solidified, it was added some variables to study the cash flow distribution of the refinery. Stochastic processes are used, in this case the MGB, to simulate the prices of the commodities identified as risk factors that influence the financial results of the company. Afterwards, the Monte Carlo simulation and the Cholesky decomposition are used to help generate correlated projections and therefore develop possible future cash flows scenarios.
Descrição: Arquivo:   
COVER, ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS, RESUMO, ABSTRACT, SUMMARY AND LISTS PDF    
CHAPTER 1 PDF    
CHAPTER 2 PDF    
CHAPTER 3 PDF    
CHAPTER 4 PDF    
CHAPTER 5 PDF    
CHAPTER 6 PDF    
CHAPTER 7 PDF    
REFERENCES AND APPENDICES PDF