Título: | ESSAYS IN CURRENCY RISK AND MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Autor: |
SYLVIO KLEIN TROMPOWSKY HECK |
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Colaborador(es): |
VINICIUS DO NASCIMENTO CARRASCO - Orientador MARCO ANTONIO CESAR BONOMO - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 18/FEV/2009 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=13054&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=13054&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.13054 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In this thesis we discuss two empirical essays in finance
and one in market
microstructure. The first article studies the joint
dynamics of the two most liquid
term structure of interest rates traded at BM&F, one in
Brazilian reais and the
other in US dollars, and two currency risk premia measures.
One currency risk
premia measure is obtained using currency expectation
surveys conducted by the
Central Bank of Brazil, while the other will be residual
from the three month
forward premium traded each day and the effective currency
observed on the
liquidation date three months after. Results show that the
term structures will
explain some of the realized currency risk premia observed
three months after.
We see this as an evidence in favor of information in the
curves more correlated
to the effective currency movement in three months than the
expected
devaluation. The second article proposes and extension of
the framework
introduced by Ang and Piazzesi (2003) to accommodate a no-
arbitrage term
structure model with macro factors. We replace the usual
inflation and output
macro factors for two currency variables, the expected
currency devaluation and
the currency risk premia. Results here show a better fit
when compared to
existing models estimated for Brazil. The third article
proposes an inter-dealer
market model in three stages, where disclosure of
information is modeled by
noisy informative signals. Simulations show that dealers
better informed will
play strategically to avoid revealing information and the
risk-sharing in the
economy will be lower when we increase the precision of the
informative
signals.
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