Título: | POWER GENERATION INVESTMENTS SELECTION | |||||||
Autor: |
LEONARDO BRAGA SOARES |
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Colaborador(es): |
JOSE PAULO TEIXEIRA - Orientador SERGIO GRANVILLE - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 22/JUL/2008 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | |||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=11951&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=11951&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.11951 | |||||||
Resumo: | ||||||||
The new structure of the brazilian electric sector,
consolidated by the end of the 90s main
implication the introduction of competition in the power
generation activity. The expansion of generation capacity,
responsible to ensure structural equilibrium between supply
and demand, is stimulated by long-term contracts negotiated
through energy auctions. Therefore, the investor must give a
competitive price (in order to win the auction), but also
sufficient to pay his investment, operational costs and,
especially, protect him against all project risks.
In this role, the two main contributions of this work are:
(i) to suggest a methodology of risk pricing, using the
Value at Risk (VaR) criterium, which gives the maximum loss
admitted by the risk averse investor, with a specified
confidence level, and (ii) to apply different portfolio
selection models, which incorporates the VaR criterium to
optimize a portfolio with different power generation
technologies. The risk pricing results are usefull to
determine the project critical components and to calculate
the competitiviness (price) of each technology. The study of
different portfolio selection methods aims to investigate
the most suitable model for the return distribution shape,
characterized by having assimetry and curtosis (heavy tails).
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