Título: | GOAL-BASED INVESTMENTS: A DYNAMIC STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING APPROACH | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
ANDRE FREDERICO MACIEL GUTIERREZ |
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Colaborador(es): |
DAVI MICHEL VALLADAO - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 13/JUN/2024 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=67019&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=67019&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.67019 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
The aim of this study is to develop an investment policy that minimizes
the total contribution required to achieve a long-term financial objective.
To achieve this goal, we developed a multi-stage optimization problem that
integrates a Hidden Markov Model to capture the stochastic dynamics
of asset returns. Unlike conventional portfolio optimization models which
are based on unrealistic assumptions, our approach is based on the goal oriented investment framework which provides a more practical and effective
solution. In addition, by using the Hidden Markov Model in our optimization
process, we obtain a more accurate estimate of the dynamics of asset
returns, which translates into better investment decision-making. By using
our model, the contribution required to achieve a desired financial goal is
minimized through an investment policy that considers current levels of
wealth and prevailing economic conditions.
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