Título: | ESSAYS ON ROAD PROJECTS CONCESSIONS: AN APPROACH TO COMPREHENDING, ASSESSING AND DETERMINING GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES ON ROAD CONCESSION PROJECTS | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
RODRIGO LOPES SANT ANNA |
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Colaborador(es): |
LUIZ EDUARDO TEIXEIRA BRANDAO - Orientador |
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Catalogação: | 31/AGO/2023 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=63863&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=63863&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.63863 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) are used by governments to develop road
projects that, generally, require high investments. However, uncertainty about
future traffic levels represents the main cause of road project failures, which can be
mitigated through government traffic guarantees and make them more attractive to
private investors. These guarantees place a financial burden on the government s
budget that can significantly influence the deficit and, thus, the government s risk
and opportunities. This thesis carried out three different studies that address the
importance of guarantees in road public-private partnership contracts by properly
estimating these guarantees and their impact on project risk through Real Options
Theory (ROT). The first analyzes the government traffic guarantee levels in the
projects, limiting government exposure, and maintaining the benefits for the private
investor. Then, the second studies focus on the potential government s contingent
liabilities caused by traffic guarantees and, for this, is analyzed the case of the
Salvador–Itaparica Bridge system project and discusses the publicly available
government reports on the project with our results. The last study cares about
designing an adequate traffic guarantee mechanism for PPP contracts in Road
Projects and, for this, we propose a model to determine the traffic guarantee s
optimal level that creates favorable conditions for the development of the projects.
This Thesis contributes to a better understanding of guarantee mechanisms for
private partners and the importance of adequately pricing the contingent
government liabilities in infrastructure projects, revealing that a properly designed
guarantee mechanism can minimize the government s contingent liabilities and
provides adequate guarantees to the private partners. Moreover, also provides a
methodology that assists policymakers in designing infrastructure PPP projects and
understanding the contingent claims and fiscal costs involved.
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