Título: | DATA-DRIVEN ROBUST OPTIMIZATION MODEL APPLIED FOR FIXED INCOME ALLOCATION | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
JESSICA ALVES |
||||||||||||
Colaborador(es): |
DAVI MICHEL VALLADAO - Orientador |
||||||||||||
Catalogação: | 14/JUL/2020 | Língua(s): | PORTUGUESE - BRAZIL |
||||||||||
Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: | THESIS | ||||||||||
Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
||||||||||||
Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=48987&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=48987&idi=2 |
||||||||||||
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.48987 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
This paper proposes a data-driven worst case robust optimization model
applied in the selection of a portfolio of fixed income securities. The portfolio
management implies in financial decision-making and risk management through
the selection of optimal assets based on expected returns. As these are uncertain
random variables, was included a defined set of estimated uncertainties directly in
the optimization process, called scenarios. The Nelson and Siegel curve fitting
model was used to construct the term structure of the interest rates employed in
the pricing of securities, a risk-free asset and some risky assets of different
maturities. The fixed-rate securities are marked to market because they are being
traded before the maturity date. The implementation took place through
computational simulation using market data and estimated data that fed the model.
With robust optimization modeling were done different tests such as: analyze the
sensitivity of the model to the variations of the parameters checking the results
and the use of a rolling horizon scheme to simulate behavior over time. Once the
optimal portfolio composition was obtained, the backtesting was done to evaluate
the behavior of the allocations with the real return and also the comparison with
the performance of a benchmark. The results of the tests showed the adequacy of
the interest curve model and good allocation results of the robust portfolio, which
presented reliability even in times of crisis.
|
|||||||||||||
|