Título: | ROBUST PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION UNDER CONFLICTING VIEWS: A BLACK-LITTERMAN MODEL APPROACH | ||||||||||||
Autor: |
DIMAS LEAO RAMOS |
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Colaborador(es): |
DAVI MICHEL VALLADAO - Orientador BETINA DODSWORTH MARTINS FROMENT FERNANDES - Coorientador |
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Catalogação: | 02/OUT/2019 | Língua(s): | ENGLISH - UNITED STATES |
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Tipo: | TEXT | Subtipo: |
THESIS
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Notas: |
[pt] Todos os dados constantes dos documentos são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os dados utilizados nas descrições dos documentos estão em conformidade com os sistemas da administração da PUC-Rio. [en] All data contained in the documents are the sole responsibility of the authors. The data used in the descriptions of the documents are in conformity with the systems of the administration of PUC-Rio. |
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Referência(s): |
[pt] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=45680&idi=1 [en] https://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/projetosEspeciais/ETDs/consultas/conteudo.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=45680&idi=2 |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.17771/PUCRio.acad.45680 | ||||||||||||
Resumo: | |||||||||||||
Black and Litterman proposed a portfolio optimization model that combines investor s views on future asset s returns with neutral market equilibrium. However, specifying portfolio views is a challenging task, specially when investors have conflicting opinions on the same asset. In this thesis, we suggest a new portfolio optimization formulation that is robust for investor s views. Our approach was tested on synthetic and real data available on a framework developed by Central Bank of Brazil. This online framework collects projections on main macroeconomics variables from more than a hundred professional forecasters and provides public online access on a weekly basis. The performance of this new robust formulation is compared with the traditional Black-Litterman model. The result show that our robust methodology can provide better risk adjusted performance compared to the orignial model and are less sensitive to incorrect inverstor views.
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