The core subject of this project is the customers´ retention as a competitive strategy to increase the company´s profitability. The goal is to develop a statistical model that links transactional and demographic variables and customer´s history data with the subscribers´ churn of a certain publication. In the first part, this study provides a revision on loyalty, satisfaction and relationship marketing theory in order to find a relation with customers´ retention. After that, the literature revision raised the most used variables for the segmentation of customers, such as: transactional, geographic, demographic, psycological and behavior variables to define the profile of the customer who churns and the profile of that one who doesn´t. After constructing a theoretical model, the logistic regression was used as a statistical technique to develop a model of cancellation forecasting. The results has been analyzed with the aid of statistical program SPSS and conclude that the profile of the customer who cancels the subscription of the publication is young up to 30 years old; with low social- demographic level; living at Baixada, Suburb, and other states than Rio De Janeiro; that bought the subscription through the outbound telemarketing sales channel; with one year subscription and payment through invoice or direct debit in current account; customers who has bought its signature more recently; that do not buy less than 3 other products of the company and that have not made complaints through the customer service. The final model of churn forecasting uses 11 variables and the classification table showed an accuracy of 75,3%. The last part presents some conclusions, implications and suggestions for future research.